The best deal score on the expiring board
The skouted.ai expiring watch is topped by superstars: Vinícius Júnior, Foden, Rodri. But the best deal score among them belongs to an 18-year-old: Geovany Tcherno Quenda, at 72, three points clear of Phil Foden’s file. The model grades the Sporting CP teenager 84 OVR, prices him between €38M and €46M, and shows his contract running just nine more months into 2027.
Who he is
Born in Guinea-Bissau and developed in Lisbon, Quenda has already crossed the threshold from prospect to performer. In the Champions League meeting with Club Brugge he produced a goal and an assist in a 3-0 win, Sporting’s third victory of the European campaign, a night that trended precisely because of the teenager’s composure.
The numbers
| Metric | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| OVR | 84 | Highest sub-25 grade on the expiring board |
| Deal Score | 72 | Best on the entire expiring section |
| UV Score | 45 | Meaningful undervaluation remains |
| Contract | 2027 | Nine months remaining |
| Data Confidence | High | Model trusts its inputs |
The club-intelligence problem
Sporting’s entire economic model is buy young, develop, sell big. The Quenda file breaks that model’s one rule: he is reaching the market’s elite grade while the contract burns down. Every month without an extension, the fee Sporting can demand drops. A locked-down 84 OVR 18-year-old is a €70M-plus conversation. The same player with twelve months left is a €45M conversation, and with six months left, a bidding war becomes a pre-contract scramble. The sell-high window and the contract clock are now the same window.
For buying clubs, the arithmetic inverts beautifully. A UV score of 45 says he is still undervalued even at €46M, and each month that passes without a renewal transfers leverage from Lisbon to the suitors. January is the last window Sporting negotiate from strength.
AI Verdict: Buy
Elite current grade, elite age, the best deal score on the expiring board and a clock that only helps the buyer. Move early, pay the middle of the band, and let the calendar do the rest.
View full profile and AI-powered transfer intelligence at skouted.ai