Beating Vinicius and Foden at their own game
The skouted.ai expiring watch is where the model tracks every player entering the final twelve months of a deal that matters. The names at the top of the list are the ones you would expect: Vinicius Junior, Phil Foden, Rodri, Bruno Fernandes. But the highest deal score on the entire board this week, a 73, belongs to a 25-year-old goalkeeper at FC Lugano whose market value band tops out at €610K.
His name is Amir Saipi, and the mathematics of his file are absurd.
The numbers
Saipi is rated 80 OVR, with high data confidence, a UV score of 77 signaling real undervaluation, and nine months left on a contract that expires in 2027. Compare the files:
| Player | OVR | Value Band | Deal Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Saipi (Lugano, GK) | 80 | €380K – €610K | 73 |
| Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) | 93 | €126M – €154M | 63 |
| Phil Foden (Man City) | 88 | €63M – €77M | 63 |
| Geovany Quenda (Sporting) | 84 | €38M – €46M | 72 |
The deal score is not a talent ranking. It is the model’s estimate of value obtainable per unit of cost and risk. An 80 OVR goalkeeper in his mid-twenties, playing every week in a league that produces Europa League and Conference League football, priced like a fourth-division prospect, is the single largest value gap on the board.
The profile
Saipi stands 1.94m, was born in July 2000, and has been Lugano’s first-choice keeper through consecutive seasons of Swiss Super League contention and European group-stage football. The save reels from the last two campaigns show the package: strong hands at his near post, commanding in his six-yard box, and increasingly comfortable with the ball at his feet, which is the skill that moves a keeper from the Swiss league to a top-five league shopping list.
The play, and the deadline
From January 1, Saipi can sign a pre-contract with any club and leave Lugano for nothing at the end of the season. Until then, a modest January fee, a fraction of the band, secures him early. The buyers are obvious: every mid-table club in Italy, Germany and France that needs a number one or a genuine challenger, plus the smart Belgian and Dutch sides that buy Swiss league quality at wholesale prices.
The reason nobody has mentioned him is the same reason the deal score is 73: goalkeeper transfers are only interesting to the clubs that need one. For those clubs, this is the best expiring file in Europe this week.
AI Verdict: Strong Buy
High data confidence, an 80 OVR in a goalkeeping market where that rating usually costs eight figures, and a UV score of 77. If a club signs one player off the expiring board this week, the model says it should be the one nobody is talking about.
View full profile and AI-powered transfer intelligence at skouted.ai